UNDEBA vs SUBT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNDEBA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2019 |
UND
1 - 1
SCH
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 4
UND
54%
22%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
UND
7 - 1
HOL
35%
25%
41%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +3 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
SVV
2 - 2
UND
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
UND
4 - 1
COL
64%
19%
18%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2019 |
SUB
4 - 0
COL
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
SCH
3 - 0
SUB
70%
20%
10%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
DOM
3 - 2
SUB
80%
13%
7%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
SUB
78%
14%
9%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2018 |
SUB
1 - 2
VIC
31%
24%
46%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |