UNDEBA vs SUBT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNDEBA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2014 |
UND
3 - 2
SIT
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
UND
3 - 1
HUB
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2014 |
UND
1 - 1
COL
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
UND
0 - 0
VIC
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
SVV
0 - 4
UND
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
SVV
0 - 1
SUB
46%
25%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 1
SUB
56%
22%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
SIT
0 - 0
SUB
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
COL
0 - 0
SUB
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2014 |
VIC
0 - 2
SUB
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |