UNDEBA vs SUBT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNDEBA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
SUB
0 - 4
UND
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
UND
2 - 1
HOL
47%
25%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
UND
0 - 2
BAR
52%
24%
24%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SVV
1 - 0
UND
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
UND
2 - 1
VIC
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
SUB
0 - 4
UND
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
SUB
0 - 8
HUB
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
HOL
0 - 1
SUB
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2009 |
CHM
0 - 2
SUB
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
SUB
1 - 3
BAR
43%
26%
31%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |