UNDEBA vs SITHOC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
52.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNDEBA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
HOL
4 - 1
UND
66%
20%
15%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
UND
2 - 5
SIT
27%
22%
51%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
UND
0 - 2
HOL
34%
24%
43%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
SCH
2 - 1
UND
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
INW
1 - 1
UND
67%
17%
16%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SITHOC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
SUB
0 - 0
SIT
32%
22%
46%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SIT
1 - 1
INW
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
SIT
0 - 0
VIC
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
HOL
0 - 0
SIT
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
SCH
3 - 0
SIT
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |