UNDEBA vs SITHOC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNDEBA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
UND
1 - 2
BAR
50%
25%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
UND
1 - 2
HUB
46%
25%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
HOL
1 - 0
UND
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2009 |
SVV
0 - 4
UND
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2009 |
UND
4 - 0
DOM
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SITHOC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2009 |
CHM
0 - 5
SIT
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2009 |
SIT
1 - 0
COL
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2009 |
RBV
0 - 3
SIT
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
VIC
0 - 0
SIT
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2009 |
SIT
1 - 0
SUB
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |