UNDEBA vs SITHOC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNDEBA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
RBV
1 - 2
UND
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
UND
1 - 1
DOM
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2009 |
HUB
1 - 0
UND
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2009 |
UND
3 - 1
CHM
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
UND
1 - 0
BAR
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SITHOC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
SIT
0 - 2
HOL
43%
25%
33%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2009 |
SUB
1 - 1
SIT
43%
24%
33%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2009 |
SIT
0 - 3
BAR
45%
25%
30%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
SVV
2 - 1
SIT
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2008 |
SIT
0 - 1
HOL
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |