Uncastillo J vs Novallas CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
69.1%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+140%
+1091%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uncastillo J
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
LUN
1 - 0
UNC
82%
12%
7%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
UNC
3 - 4
ALE
60%
18%
22%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BIO
1 - 3
UNC
41%
20%
40%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PUY
2 - 1
UNC
50%
20%
31%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 4
UNC
76%
14%
10%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Novallas CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 0
LUN
32%
23%
46%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
NOV
5 - 0
ALE
73%
16%
11%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
NOV
58%
20%
22%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 1
BIO
68%
17%
15%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
NOV
3 - 3
PUY
64%
19%
17%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |