UNCW Seahawks vs James Madison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
43.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNCW Seahawks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
UNC
3 - 2
NTH
34%
22%
44%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
UNC
4 - 2
DLW
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
DUD
2 - 0
UNC
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
UNC
2 - 4
HFP
33%
22%
46%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
JMD
2 - 0
UNC
60%
19%
21%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
James Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
JMD
3 - 1
WMM
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
EPX
0 - 2
JMD
32%
23%
45%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
DLW
0 - 3
JMD
13%
18%
69%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
JMD
1 - 0
CCR
83%
11%
6%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
UCF
2 - 1
JMD
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |