UMS de Loum vs Union Douala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
+2
9.2%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
22.8%
33.5%
Draw
0-0
17.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
33.5%
31.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
5º
10º
9º
19
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
19 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 8 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMS de Loum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
LES
2 - 1
UMS
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
UMS
2 - 0
FOV
32%
32%
36%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
FAE
1 - 0
UMS
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
UMS
1 - 1
ASF
27%
29%
44%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
BAM
3 - 2
UMS
43%
29%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Union Douala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
FAE
0 - 1
UNI
51%
27%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 1
ASF
38%
27%
36%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BAM
0 - 0
UNI
49%
28%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 0
APE
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
PWD
0 - 0
UNI
44%
29%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |