Cup . 1/16
Global 5-4
Umraniyespor vs 1461 Trabzon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
7.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umraniyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
UMR
0 - 1
ANK
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
BAL
0 - 1
UMR
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
ESK
2 - 2
UMR
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
UMR
0 - 0
ALT
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
HAT
0 - 1
UMR
33%
29%
38%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
1461 Trabzon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
146
1 - 1
BSK
57%
22%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SER
1 - 0
146
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
146
1 - 0
BUC
42%
23%
35%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
PAY
0 - 0
146
29%
27%
44%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
146
1 - 1
ERZ
42%
25%
34%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |