Umia vs Racing Castrelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
15.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
CUN
0 - 2
UMI
18%
21%
60%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
UMI
2 - 1
LGU
74%
15%
12%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 1
UMI
25%
23%
52%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
UMI
2 - 2
CAM
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ALE
0 - 2
UMI
45%
24%
32%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Castrelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 2
CAS
46%
23%
31%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
MAT
0 - 1
CAS
42%
24%
34%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 0
ZAC
78%
14%
8%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 3
CAS
24%
20%
56%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CAS
5 - 2
AMA
39%
24%
37%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |