Umia vs Barbadás analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
60.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 0
UMI
62%
19%
18%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
UMI
0 - 1
CAM
41%
23%
36%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CUL
2 - 1
UMI
47%
22%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PON
4 - 1
UMI
51%
22%
26%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
UMI
1 - 0
RIB
39%
24%
37%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Barbadás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 0
CAM
61%
21%
18%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
PON
0 - 2
BAR
34%
24%
42%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 0
POR
62%
21%
17%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 1
VER
65%
21%
15%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 4
BAR
25%
24%
50%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |