UMECIT II vs Sporting San Miguelito II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
73%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.3%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+125%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
11º
6º
33
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
33 | 37 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 35 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 31 |
3º
|
79% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 29 |
4º
|
76% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
5º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 23 |
6º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 22 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 20 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 11 |
10º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 8 |
11º
|
87% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 5 |
12º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
TFC
4 - 1
SSM
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
SSM
3 - 1
TFC
40%
27%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
SSM
4 - 2
CHA
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
SSM
2 - 1
COL
80%
13%
6%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
UME
0 - 1
SSM
57%
24%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |