UMECIT vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
41.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
6º
12º
9º
23
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
UME
0 - 2
SFF
29%
29%
42%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
UME
1 - 1
CHO
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
UME
1 - 0
SFF
27%
29%
45%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
UME
0 - 0
IND
21%
25%
54%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
AZU
2 - 1
UME
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
CHO
3 - 2
SUN
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
UME
1 - 1
CHO
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
IND
2 - 1
CHO
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 1
SUN
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 1
SFF
37%
28%
34%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |