Umeå vs IFK Varnamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umeå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 1
UME
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
UME
1 - 2
IKB
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
BRO
2 - 1
UME
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
UME
1 - 3
ANG
23%
24%
53%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
UME
0 - 4
HAL
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
IFK Varnamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
IFK
2 - 5
HAL
28%
27%
45%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
JON
1 - 0
IFK
56%
22%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2012 |
IFK
1 - 2
OIF
26%
27%
47%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 2
IFK
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
IFK
2 - 2
LJU
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |