Umeå vs Falkenbergs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
48.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umeå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
LAN
2 - 1
UME
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2012 |
UME
3 - 1
LAN
33%
26%
42%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
ASS
1 - 1
UME
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
UME
1 - 1
IFK
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 1
UME
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Falkenbergs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
FAL
3 - 1
HAL
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2012 |
HAL
1 - 1
FAL
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2012 |
FAL
1 - 1
JON
60%
21%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
OIF
4 - 1
FAL
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
FAL
2 - 0
TRE
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |