Umeå vs BK Forward analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
36%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umeå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
IKB
1 - 1
UME
50%
24%
27%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2014 |
UME
2 - 3
IFK
49%
23%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
SYL
2 - 2
UME
42%
24%
35%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
UME
0 - 1
AFC
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
IKF
3 - 1
UME
51%
24%
24%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
BK Forward
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2014 |
BKF
2 - 1
VAS
51%
24%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
HUD
2 - 0
BKF
29%
25%
46%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
BKF
1 - 2
VAS
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
BKF
0 - 1
IKB
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
IFK
1 - 1
BKF
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |