Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
Global 6-6
UM Escobedo vs CF La Nucía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
NUC
5 - 3
ESC
43%
24%
33%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
SEL
0 - 0
ESC
9%
17%
74%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ESC
3 - 0
CAY
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 3
ESC
19%
21%
60%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ESC
3 - 0
VEL
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
CF La Nucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
NUC
5 - 3
ESC
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
NUC
0 - 1
TOR
57%
23%
21%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
LEV
1 - 0
NUC
71%
19%
10%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
NUC
2 - 0
CAS
33%
27%
40%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ELD
2 - 2
NUC
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |