UM Escobedo vs Cayón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
16.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+90%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
RIB
3 - 2
ESC
20%
22%
58%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ESC
2 - 2
LAR
71%
18%
11%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
TRO
5 - 0
ESC
28%
24%
47%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -3 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
ESC
3 - 0
CUL
74%
17%
9%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
BUE
0 - 4
ESC
28%
24%
48%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CAY
1 - 1
RAY
31%
26%
44%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
RAC
0 - 1
CAY
78%
15%
7%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CAY
2 - 0
SOL
62%
22%
17%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
NOJ
3 - 0
CAY
72%
18%
10%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CAY
0 - 0
ALB
62%
22%
17%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |