Ulm vs Waldhof Mannheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
CRA
1 - 1
ULM
25%
22%
53%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
ULM
3 - 2
FRE
80%
13%
7%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
STU
0 - 3
ULM
13%
21%
67%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
ULM
5 - 0
VIL
85%
11%
4%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
FRE
2 - 2
ULM
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Waldhof Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
WAL
1 - 1
BAH
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
BON
0 - 3
WAL
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
WAL
2 - 0
FVL
80%
15%
6%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
VFR
3 - 1
WAL
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
WAL
1 - 2
REU
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |