Ulm vs VfR Mannheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+95%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
AAL
1 - 3
ULM
20%
21%
59%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
ULM
7 - 0
KPF
84%
11%
5%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
FRE
3 - 1
ULM
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ULM
0 - 1
SPI
39%
23%
37%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
PFU
1 - 5
ULM
30%
25%
45%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
VfR Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
VFR
0 - 2
BAH
15%
21%
65%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
REU
2 - 4
VFR
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
VFR
1 - 0
FRE
9%
15%
76%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | +4 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
STU
4 - 0
VFR
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
VFR
0 - 2
KEH
24%
26%
50%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |