Ulm vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1987 |
USO
6 - 2
ULM
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1986 |
DAR
2 - 1
ULM
73%
16%
11%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1986 |
VIK
0 - 0
ULM
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1986 |
ULM
1 - 2
ARB
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1986 |
AAA
2 - 1
ULM
61%
23%
17%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1987 |
ROT
4 - 1
HES
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1986 |
ROT
3 - 1
ROT
54%
22%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1986 |
ROT
2 - 1
SVS
44%
24%
32%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1986 |
OSN
2 - 2
ROT
57%
22%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1986 |
ROT
3 - 2
SAL
90%
7%
3%
|
65 | 37 | 28 | 0 |