Ulm vs Karlsruher SC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
NOR
1 - 1
ULM
12%
18%
70%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
ULM
2 - 1
SVS
73%
16%
11%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
HOF
1 - 2
ULM
19%
21%
60%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
ULM
1 - 1
WAL
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
CRA
1 - 1
ULM
25%
22%
53%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Karlsruher SC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
KSC
1 - 0
BAH
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
BON
1 - 5
KSC
21%
23%
56%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
KSC
2 - 0
FVL
75%
17%
8%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
VFR
0 - 1
KSC
61%
22%
18%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
KSC
0 - 0
REU
30%
26%
45%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |