Ulm vs Freiburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
ULM
1 - 3
S04
7%
14%
79%
|
49 | 79 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
ULM
1 - 2
HES
67%
18%
14%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
BAY
0 - 4
ULM
24%
24%
52%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
EIN
0 - 3
ULM
21%
23%
57%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
STE
1 - 1
ULM
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Freiburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
FRE
0 - 1
BAY
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
FRE
1 - 1
ELV
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
FRE
3 - 0
GIE
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
FRE
4 - 3
BAH
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
PIR
0 - 4
FRE
17%
22%
61%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |