Ullern vs Modum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
24.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ullern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
LOM
3 - 5
ULL
39%
24%
38%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
ULL
9 - 2
MJO
72%
16%
12%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
BAE
0 - 2
ULL
28%
23%
49%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
ASK
0 - 1
ULL
16%
20%
64%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
ULL
5 - 2
VIL
86%
10%
4%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Modum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
MOD
3 - 2
MJO
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
MOD
4 - 2
VIL
88%
9%
4%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
LYN
0 - 1
MOD
84%
12%
4%
|
30 | 65 | 35 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
MOD
2 - 2
RIL
82%
12%
7%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
ROA
3 - 2
MOD
19%
22%
59%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -1 |