NB I round 1

Újpest FC vs Fehérvár analysis

Újpest FC Fehérvár
70 ELO 72
7.8% Tilt 7.3%
869º General ELO ranking 891º
Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
42.5%
Újpest FC
26.4%
Draw
31.2%
Fehérvár

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
Újpest FC
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.2%
Win probability
Fehérvár
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Újpest FC
-14%
-20%
Fehérvár

Points and table prediction

Újpest FC
Their league position
Fehérvár
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
10º
10º
54
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ferencvárosi
74
74
100%
Paksi FC
58
58
100%
Puskás Akadémia
55
55
100%
Fehérvár
54
54
100%
Debreceni VSC
48
48
100%
Kecskeméti
45
45
0%
Diósgyőr VTK
45
45
0%
MTK Budapest
44
44
100%
Zalaegerszegi TE
43
43
100%
Újpest FC
10º
37
37
10º
100%
Kisvárda
11º
31
31
11º
100%
Mezőkövesd-Zsory
12º
21
21
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Újpest FC
Fehérvár
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
0% 0%
Europa League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Újpest FC
Fehérvár
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Újpest FC
Újpest FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jul. 2023
UJP
Újpest FC
0 - 1
Al-Fateh SC
ALF
32%
24%
44%
70 77 7 0
15 Jul. 2023
ESK
České Budějovice
1 - 4
Újpest FC
UJP
46%
23%
31%
70 68 2 0
12 Jul. 2023
SKN
SKN St. Polten
1 - 4
Újpest FC
UJP
40%
25%
35%
69 68 1 +1
08 Jul. 2023
UJP
Újpest FC
2 - 1
Budapest BVSC
BUD
72%
17%
11%
69 57 12 0
05 Jul. 2023
UJP
Újpest FC
2 - 3
Budapesti Vasas
VAS
58%
21%
20%
69 64 5 0

Matches

Fehérvár
Fehérvár
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jul. 2023
FHV
Fehérvár
1 - 2
Pécsi MFC
PEC
81%
14%
6%
72 52 20 0
21 Jul. 2023
FHV
Fehérvár
0 - 0
Gyirmot
GYI
75%
16%
9%
72 55 17 0
15 Jul. 2023
FHV
Fehérvár
2 - 2
Trabzonspor
TRA
20%
22%
58%
72 84 12 0
08 Jul. 2023
OSI
NK Osijek
0 - 2
Fehérvár
FHV
50%
26%
24%
72 81 9 0
01 Jul. 2023
FHV
Fehérvár
0 - 5
DAC
DAC
33%
25%
42%
72 79 7 0