Pref. Pais Vasco Round 23

Ugeraga vs Derio analysis

Ugeraga Derio
18 ELO 16
-4.2% Tilt -9.4%
19621º General ELO ranking 19267º
6015º Country ELO ranking 5785º
ELO win probability
53.7%
Ugeraga
23.6%
Draw
22.7%
Derio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
Ugeraga
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.7%
Win probability
Derio
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Ugeraga
Derio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ugeraga
Ugeraga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Feb. 2009
CDS
Sondika
0 - 3
Ugeraga
SDU
65%
20%
15%
16 20 4 0
18 Feb. 2009
GAL
Galdakao
1 - 0
Ugeraga
SDU
54%
24%
22%
17 18 1 -1
15 Feb. 2009
SDU
Ugeraga
0 - 2
Club Bermeo
CLU
25%
25%
50%
17 25 8 0
07 Feb. 2009
SDS
SD San Pedro
0 - 0
Ugeraga
SDU
72%
18%
10%
17 30 13 0
01 Feb. 2009
SDU
Ugeraga
0 - 3
Deusto
DEU
34%
26%
40%
18 22 4 -1

Matches

Derio
Derio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Feb. 2009
DER
Derio
0 - 0
Berriz
BER
36%
25%
39%
16 19 3 0
14 Feb. 2009
BFC
Balmaseda FC
2 - 0
Derio
DER
74%
17%
10%
17 26 9 -1
07 Feb. 2009
DER
Derio
2 - 2
Sodupe
SOD
58%
22%
20%
17 14 3 0
01 Feb. 2009
RET
Retuerto Sport
2 - 0
Derio
DER
65%
20%
15%
18 22 4 -1
17 Jan. 2009
DER
Derio
0 - 0
Gatika
GAT
42%
25%
33%
18 19 1 0