CAF Qualifying Grupo 2 round 1

Uganda vs Sudan analysis

Uganda Sudan
68 ELO 56
9.6% Tilt -3.7%
1607º General ELO ranking 2375º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
72.7%
Uganda
16.9%
Draw
10.4%
Sudan

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
Uganda
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.4%
Win probability
Sudan
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Uganda
-3%
+21%
Sudan

ELO progression

Uganda
Sudan
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Uganda
Uganda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Jul. 1993
UGA
Uganda
0 - 0
Nigeria
NGA
53%
24%
23%
68 77 9 0
25 Apr. 1993
ETH
Ethiopia
2 - 2
Uganda
UGA
34%
28%
38%
68 60 8 0
11 Apr. 1993
SDN
Sudan
1 - 1
Uganda
UGA
29%
27%
44%
68 56 12 0
10 Jan. 1993
UGA
Uganda
2 - 0
Tanzania
TAN
82%
12%
6%
68 52 16 0
08 Jan. 1993
UGA
Uganda
3 - 1
Tanzania
TAN
81%
13%
6%
67 53 14 +1

Matches

Sudan
Sudan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jul. 1993
SDN
Sudan
1 - 0
Ethiopia
ETH
39%
27%
34%
56 60 4 0
26 May. 1993
ETH
Ethiopia
1 - 1
Sudan
SDN
55%
25%
20%
56 60 4 0
24 Apr. 1993
NGA
Nigeria
4 - 0
Sudan
SDN
78%
17%
6%
56 76 20 0
11 Apr. 1993
SDN
Sudan
1 - 1
Uganda
UGA
29%
27%
44%
56 68 12 0
30 Aug. 1992
ETH
Ethiopia
3 - 0
Sudan
SDN
56%
24%
19%
56 61 5 0