CAF U20 Preliminary stages Quarter-finals
Global 8-1
Uganda U20 vs South Sudan U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
UGA
2 - 1
RWA
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
RWA
1 - 1
UGA
50%
24%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
GHA
3 - 0
UGA
86%
11%
4%
|
38 | 71 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
UGA
3 - 1
GHA
8%
16%
76%
|
36 | 72 | 36 | +2 |
Matches
South Sudan U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SDN
1 - 3
RSA
17%
22%
61%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
SDN
1 - 4
CMR
19%
23%
59%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2017 |
SEN
1 - 1
SDN
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2016 |
SDN
5 - 0
SEY
80%
13%
7%
|
40 | 9 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
SDN
1 - 1
MAU
63%
19%
19%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |