UFC Maria Alm vs Grödig II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.8%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
84.3%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
12.4%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.7%
0-4
9%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
12.7%
0-5
5.3%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7%
0-6
2.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.3%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UFC Maria Alm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
WAL
11 - 0
UMA
90%
7%
3%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
UMA
0 - 2
ALT
7%
14%
79%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
STR
5 - 1
UMA
93%
5%
2%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
UMA
0 - 1
UNI
10%
17%
74%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ZEL
2 - 0
UMA
92%
6%
2%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Grödig II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
GRO
3 - 1
KUC
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
HAL
0 - 5
GRO
14%
19%
67%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
GRO
5 - 1
GOL
84%
10%
6%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
BER
0 - 2
GRO
49%
21%
30%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
PUC
1 - 1
GRO
39%
24%
38%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |