Quart vs Tossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
73.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
BEG
2 - 1
QRT
67%
18%
15%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
QRT
0 - 2
BLA
26%
22%
52%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
TOR
3 - 1
QRT
50%
22%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
QRT
3 - 1
UGI
43%
22%
35%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
PAL
2 - 0
QRT
39%
24%
37%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
TOS
2 - 1
PAL
83%
11%
5%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
TRL
3 - 1
TOS
13%
19%
69%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
TOS
4 - 1
CEF
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
TOS
2 - 1
CAG
58%
21%
22%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
BEG
2 - 3
TOS
20%
21%
59%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |