3. NL Croatia Centro round 14

Kurilovec vs Zagorec analysis

Kurilovec Zagorec
47 ELO 38
-2.1% Tilt -2.6%
33836º General ELO ranking 26110º
215º Country ELO ranking 125º
ELO win probability
65.1%
Kurilovec
19.8%
Draw
15%
Zagorec

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
Kurilovec
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15%
Win probability
Zagorec
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kurilovec
+18%
-51%
Zagorec

ELO progression

Kurilovec
Zagorec
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kurilovec
Kurilovec
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Oct. 2020
HAS
NK HASK Zagreb
1 - 3
Kurilovec
NUK
18%
23%
59%
47 31 16 0
07 Oct. 2020
NKJ
NK Jarun
3 - 1
Kurilovec
NUK
27%
24%
49%
48 39 9 -1
03 Oct. 2020
NUK
Kurilovec
2 - 0
Vrapče
VRA
73%
18%
10%
48 35 13 0
30 Sep. 2020
NUK
Kurilovec
6 - 0
Jaska Vinogradar
VIN
28%
24%
49%
45 51 6 +3
27 Sep. 2020
TRN
NK Trnje
0 - 0
Kurilovec
NUK
28%
25%
47%
46 37 9 -1

Matches

Zagorec
Zagorec
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Oct. 2020
ZAG
Zagorec
1 - 1
NK Dugo Selo
DUG
53%
21%
26%
37 36 1 0
24 Oct. 2020
LUK
Lučko
0 - 0
Zagorec
ZAG
51%
22%
26%
37 40 3 0
17 Oct. 2020
ZAG
Zagorec
2 - 2
Segesta
SEG
64%
19%
17%
37 31 6 0
14 Oct. 2020
ZAG
Zagorec
6 - 4
NK Ponikve
PON
40%
23%
38%
35 39 4 +2
10 Oct. 2020
TRE
NK Trešnjevka
0 - 1
Zagorec
ZAG
27%
20%
53%
34 27 7 +1