UDC Vilaboa vs Caldas CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UDC Vilaboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
MAR
0 - 0
VIL
32%
23%
46%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
VIL
2 - 5
PUE
20%
23%
58%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
VIL
2 - 2
UDE
68%
19%
14%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
VIL
2 - 0
CUN
49%
23%
28%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
FLA
0 - 3
VIL
42%
23%
35%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Caldas CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
CAL
0 - 1
MAR
35%
23%
42%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CAM
1 - 1
CAL
30%
24%
46%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
UNI
1 - 1
CAL
70%
17%
13%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CAL
1 - 1
ARC
36%
24%
40%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
CAL
46%
22%
32%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |