Vecindario vs Ibarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vecindario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
ESP
1 - 1
VEC
21%
25%
55%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
VEC
2 - 0
RSI
71%
19%
11%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
CDM
0 - 0
VEC
29%
27%
44%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
VEC
5 - 0
VSB
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
TEL
1 - 1
VEC
27%
28%
46%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
UDI
0 - 0
TEG
57%
23%
20%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
GAL
0 - 0
UDI
53%
24%
24%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
UDI
2 - 0
AGA
48%
25%
27%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
CDT
1 - 2
UDI
61%
22%
17%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
UDI
3 - 0
LAG
45%
28%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |