UD Santa Marta vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
58.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
GRA
0 - 1
STM
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
STM
0 - 3
CDG
16%
22%
62%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
STM
4 - 0
UVA
78%
14%
7%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
CDV
3 - 2
STM
29%
23%
48%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
STM
0 - 1
CDO
70%
18%
12%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
AST
6 - 1
SDA
79%
14%
8%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
AST
0 - 2
PON
24%
24%
52%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
AST
0 - 4
CUL
12%
18%
71%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
AST
2 - 1
LVC
81%
13%
7%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CAT
2 - 2
AST
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |