Mutilvera vs Somozas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CUL
5 - 1
UDM
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
UDM
1 - 0
PON
12%
24%
63%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
TUD
1 - 1
UDM
63%
24%
13%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
UDM
1 - 1
OSA
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VAL
0 - 0
UDM
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SOM
0 - 3
CDG
41%
28%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAU
2 - 0
SOM
49%
26%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SOM
0 - 0
ACF
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BOI
2 - 1
SOM
25%
26%
48%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SOM
1 - 1
COX
51%
26%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |