Mutilvera vs Oberena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
29.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
CDB
2 - 0
UDM
32%
28%
40%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
UDM
3 - 0
ART
59%
25%
16%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
LOU
1 - 0
UDM
31%
25%
44%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
UDM
0 - 1
HUA
59%
25%
17%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
MUR
0 - 0
UDM
29%
28%
43%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Oberena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
OBE
0 - 0
MUR
60%
23%
17%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
LAG
0 - 1
OBE
27%
24%
49%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
OBE
3 - 1
CHA
69%
20%
12%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
ATL
2 - 2
OBE
37%
26%
37%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
OBE
3 - 0
SJU
58%
23%
19%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |