Mutilvera vs Murchante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
14%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
BUR
0 - 0
UDM
36%
28%
37%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
UDM
4 - 0
SUB
68%
20%
12%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
CHA
0 - 1
UDM
31%
28%
41%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
UDM
1 - 2
RIV
67%
21%
13%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
CDU
2 - 3
UDM
31%
27%
42%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
MUR
2 - 1
IZA
46%
27%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
HUA
2 - 0
MUR
38%
28%
34%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
MUR
0 - 2
LAG
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
AOI
0 - 1
MUR
37%
29%
34%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
MUR
2 - 1
TUD
46%
27%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |