Segunda RFEF round 16

Mutilvera vs Arenas de Getxo analysis

Mutilvera Arenas de Getxo
44 ELO 49
-10% Tilt -7.9%
5600º General ELO ranking 3372º
209º Country ELO ranking 107º
ELO win probability
26.4%
Mutilvera
26.2%
Draw
47.4%
Arenas de Getxo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
Mutilvera
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
47.4%
Win probability
Arenas de Getxo
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mutilvera
-10%
+35%
Arenas de Getxo

Points and table prediction

Mutilvera
Their league position
Arenas de Getxo
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
18º
11º
49
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sestao River
72
72
100%
Deportivo Alavés B
60
60
100%
SD Tarazona
57
57
100%
Tudelano
53
53
100%
SD Gernika
51
51
100%
Utebo
50
51
100%
Real Sociedad C
50
50
100%
AD San Juan
49
49
0%
Arenas de Getxo
49
49
0%
Izarra
10º
48
48
10º
100%
Mutilvera
11º
47
47
11º
100%
Brea
12º
44
44
12º
100%
Beasain KE
13º
39
39
13º
100%
Cirbonero
14º
38
38
14º
100%
CD Alfaro
15º
34
34
15º
100%
Racing Rioja
17º
32
33
16º
100%
UD Logroñés B
16º
32
32
17º
100%
Arnedo
18º
24
24
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Mutilvera
Arenas de Getxo
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Mutilvera
Arenas de Getxo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mutilvera
Mutilvera
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Dec. 2022
UDL
UD Logroñés B
0 - 1
Mutilvera
UDM
48%
25%
27%
41 41 0 0
10 Dec. 2022
UDM
Mutilvera
4 - 2
CD Alfaro
ALF
51%
23%
26%
40 37 3 +1
03 Dec. 2022
UFC
Utebo
3 - 2
Mutilvera
UDM
53%
24%
23%
40 43 3 0
26 Nov. 2022
UDM
Mutilvera
3 - 1
SD Tarazona
TAR
24%
26%
50%
38 47 9 +2
20 Nov. 2022
IZA
Izarra
1 - 0
Mutilvera
UDM
50%
26%
25%
39 42 3 -1

Matches

Arenas de Getxo
Arenas de Getxo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Dec. 2022
ARE
Arenas de Getxo
1 - 5
Real Valladolid
VAD
5%
16%
79%
50 81 31 0
17 Dec. 2022
ARE
Arenas de Getxo
0 - 0
AD San Juan
SJU
57%
25%
18%
50 44 6 0
11 Dec. 2022
ALA
Deportivo Alavés B
0 - 0
Arenas de Getxo
ARE
31%
26%
43%
50 44 6 0
04 Dec. 2022
ARE
Arenas de Getxo
0 - 2
SD Gernika
GER
59%
23%
18%
51 43 8 -1
27 Nov. 2022
ARE
Arenas de Getxo
1 - 0
Beasain KE
BEA
69%
21%
11%
51 40 11 0