Mutilvera vs Aluvión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
11%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
CAV
2 - 4
UDM
38%
25%
37%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
UDM
1 - 0
LOU
61%
22%
17%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
UDM
65%
20%
14%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
UDM
1 - 0
RIV
69%
19%
12%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
MHN
1 - 0
UDM
61%
23%
16%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ALU
0 - 1
ZAR
29%
24%
47%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
OBE
2 - 0
ALU
51%
24%
25%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
ALU
1 - 2
ATL
27%
25%
48%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
CHA
0 - 0
ALU
52%
24%
24%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
ALU
1 - 1
PAM
32%
26%
42%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |