Marbella FC vs Diter Zafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
MAR
3 - 0
ALH
51%
25%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
MAR
2 - 1
UBE
60%
23%
18%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
ALH
2 - 0
MAR
42%
28%
30%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
MAR
3 - 1
MMA
59%
23%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
MAR
0 - 0
LOJ
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Diter Zafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
CDZ
0 - 0
SEV
28%
27%
45%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
SAM
0 - 3
CDZ
21%
26%
54%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
CDZ
2 - 0
MOR
75%
17%
9%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
CER
1 - 1
CDZ
27%
26%
47%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
CDZ
0 - 0
MOR
58%
24%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |