Marbella FC vs CD Don Benito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
19.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
MEL
0 - 0
MAR
52%
26%
22%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
CDB
3 - 0
MAR
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 2
LAN
41%
27%
31%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
ULP
1 - 1
MAR
54%
26%
21%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 3
BET
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
CD Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
DBN
1 - 0
MEL
45%
28%
28%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
DBN
1 - 0
JER
37%
28%
34%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
PLA
2 - 0
DBN
25%
26%
49%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
DBN
2 - 1
UCL
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
BUR
0 - 2
DBN
14%
23%
63%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | +1 |