Lanzarote vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
LAN
4 - 2
POL
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
MEL
2 - 1
LAN
38%
29%
33%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
LAN
1 - 0
JER
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
MER
1 - 1
LAN
42%
29%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
LAN
1 - 2
CDB
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
RJA
1 - 0
ULP
41%
29%
31%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
BET
4 - 0
RJA
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
RJA
1 - 1
ECI
50%
27%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 2
RJA
41%
28%
32%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
RJA
1 - 0
CDL
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |