Lanzarote vs Ibarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CSU
1 - 1
LAN
26%
27%
47%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
LAN
2 - 0
UDL
71%
17%
11%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
UNV
2 - 2
LAN
20%
26%
54%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
LAN
1 - 1
UDS
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
COT
1 - 1
LAN
38%
27%
35%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
UDI
2 - 0
ARU
57%
22%
22%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 1
UDI
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
UDI
2 - 1
VER
59%
21%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
CDB
0 - 0
UDI
44%
25%
31%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
UDI
3 - 1
TEL
61%
21%
19%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |