UD Fornacense vs Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
30.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+101%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MON
0 - 1
UDF
24%
23%
53%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
UDF
4 - 1
SPH
63%
19%
18%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ADL
0 - 0
UDF
47%
22%
30%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
UDF
5 - 1
CPR
64%
18%
18%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CAM
0 - 2
UDF
40%
22%
38%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
3 - 1
UCL
35%
24%
41%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SPR
2 - 0
VIL
29%
22%
49%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
3 - 0
OLY
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 1
VIL
10%
17%
73%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CDT
1 - 4
VIL
27%
22%
52%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |