UD Fornacense vs CP Valdivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
45%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+398%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
UDF
36%
24%
40%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
UDF
2 - 1
EMD
34%
24%
42%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
GIM
1 - 3
UDF
22%
22%
56%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
UDF
8 - 0
CPR
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ORE
0 - 2
UDF
12%
18%
70%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CP Valdivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 1
VIL
61%
21%
18%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
VAL
6 - 0
MON
63%
21%
16%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
EMD
2 - 1
VAL
43%
24%
33%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 0
GIM
80%
14%
6%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CPR
4 - 4
VAL
16%
22%
62%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | -1 |