UD Fornacense vs Real Almendralejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.6%
17.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
UDF
4 - 0
SFO
41%
22%
37%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
RHI
2 - 1
UDF
74%
15%
11%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
UDF
1 - 2
ACE
47%
21%
32%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
EXT
3 - 0
UDF
76%
14%
11%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
UDF
1 - 0
SEG
39%
22%
39%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Real Almendralejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ALM
0 - 2
ACE
24%
21%
55%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
EXT
2 - 0
ALM
87%
9%
4%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ALM
0 - 2
SEG
37%
22%
41%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
HER
2 - 0
ALM
51%
21%
28%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ALM
0 - 2
SAT
40%
22%
38%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |