UD Fornacense vs CD Don Álvaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
41.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+398%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 1
UDF
54%
21%
25%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
UDF
1 - 1
ADL
41%
22%
38%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SPH
0 - 2
UDF
14%
18%
69%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
UDF
1 - 1
UCL
21%
20%
59%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
UDF
1 - 0
CDT
71%
16%
13%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Don Álvaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CDD
1 - 4
CDB
42%
22%
37%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
USA
0 - 4
CDD
43%
23%
35%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CDD
7 - 2
MON
86%
10%
5%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
CFS
3 - 2
CDD
28%
22%
50%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CDD
3 - 1
EMD
25%
22%
53%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +2 |