UD España vs SD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
31.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
EME
0 - 0
UDE
45%
21%
34%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
MEL
4 - 0
UDE
51%
21%
29%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
UDE
1 - 1
ILI
75%
14%
11%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
ALG
6 - 1
UDE
59%
18%
23%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -2 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
UDE
1 - 1
REC
67%
17%
17%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
SDC
2 - 1
ILI
81%
11%
8%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
ALG
2 - 2
SDC
50%
20%
30%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
SDC
2 - 2
REC
69%
16%
15%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
CAT
1 - 0
SDC
52%
20%
28%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
MAL
6 - 1
SDC
87%
8%
5%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |