UD Castros vs Unión Astur CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
39.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
5 - 0
RGJ
60%
19%
20%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 0
CAS
47%
21%
32%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 1
MID
69%
18%
14%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
COD
1 - 2
CAS
32%
22%
47%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
PDV
56%
21%
24%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Astur CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
TIN
3 - 4
UAS
26%
22%
52%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
UAS
2 - 2
ATL
35%
23%
43%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
GLM
3 - 1
UAS
56%
21%
24%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
UAS
1 - 1
ABO
69%
17%
14%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 2
UAS
39%
22%
39%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |